Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ICT
3 - 3
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 0
HOM
32%
27%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
MHE
1 - 3
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HOM
0 - 0
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 2
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 1
STJ
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
STJ
2 - 1
DUN
55%
25%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STJ
0 - 1
KIL
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ROS
0 - 2
STJ
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |