Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 2
MHE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOM
2 - 3
ICT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 3
KIL
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 2
STJ
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STJ
1 - 1
CEL
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 0
STJ
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 3
STJ
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |