Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
HIB
1 - 5
HOM
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 1
BHA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 1
ESK
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ESK
2 - 0
STJ
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 4
GLA
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -2 |