Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
HOM
0 - 1
CEL
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
HOM
3 - 3
MHE
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
STJ
1 - 1
ABE
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
STJ
1 - 3
DUN
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
MHE
2 - 1
STJ
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
STJ
3 - 4
HIB
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
CEL
3 - 2
STJ
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |