Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
MHE
0 - 2
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
HOM
5 - 0
STM
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1929 |
CWB
0 - 1
HOM
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
STJ
2 - 2
HAM
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
DUN
0 - 1
STJ
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
STJ
4 - 0
QUE
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
CWB
2 - 1
STJ
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1929 |
STJ
0 - 1
GLA
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |