Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
HOM
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
HOM
2 - 1
STM
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1928 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
MHE
0 - 3
HOM
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
STJ
1 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
MHE
1 - 0
STJ
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
STJ
4 - 1
BON
63%
19%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
STJ
2 - 1
FAL
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
STJ
0 - 0
STM
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |