Heart of Midlothian vs St Bernard's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1899 |
HOM
2 - 0
TLA
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1899 |
CEL
0 - 2
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
3 - 0
STM
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St Bernard's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1899 |
STB
2 - 0
DUN
63%
18%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1899 |
DUN
3 - 0
STB
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
KIL
2 - 1
STB
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
STB
2 - 4
HOM
22%
20%
58%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
STM
4 - 3
STB
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |