Heart of Midlothian vs St Bernard's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1897 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1897 |
HOM
2 - 4
STM
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1897 |
HOM
2 - 2
GLA
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1897 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
34%
23%
44%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1897 |
HOM
0 - 0
CEL
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St Bernard's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1897 |
CLY
4 - 2
STB
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1897 |
STB
3 - 2
HIB
33%
24%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1897 |
STB
0 - 2
CEL
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1897 |
STM
7 - 2
STB
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1897 |
DUN
0 - 0
STB
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |