Heart of Midlothian vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1916 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1916 |
HOM
3 - 1
STM
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1916 |
AYR
3 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1915 |
TLA
1 - 3
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1915 |
HOM
4 - 0
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1916 |
RAI
3 - 1
FAL
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1916 |
MHE
1 - 4
RAI
75%
15%
9%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1916 |
HIB
1 - 0
RAI
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1916 |
RAI
2 - 0
HAM
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1916 |
KIL
2 - 0
RAI
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |