Heart of Midlothian vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
5º
4º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
IST
3 - 1
HOM
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 2
HOM
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
RIG
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 4
CEL
25%
22%
53%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
MHE
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MHE
1 - 2
ABE
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MHE
1 - 2
GLA
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |