Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
3º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
HOM
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
HOM
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
HIB
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
5 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 2
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 2
GLA
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |