Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 2
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ROS
2 - 2
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 1
STJ
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
KIL
1 - 1
ICT
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MHE
0 - 0
KIL
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
5 - 1
KIL
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |