Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
HOM
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 3
HOM
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 3
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ICT
2 - 0
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
1 - 2
HAM
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 3
HOM
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
33%
28%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |