Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HOM
2 - 0
ROS
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 4
HOM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
2 - 1
KIL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 2
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MHE
1 - 2
KIL
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |