Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 2
HOM
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ICT
1 - 1
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
4 - 1
HOM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ICT
1 - 1
KIL
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KIL
2 - 0
ICT
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
4 - 1
KIL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
KIL
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |