Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 0
DZG
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DZG
4 - 0
HOM
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
43%
28%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
KIL
3 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MHE
3 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KIL
3 - 0
HAM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 2
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |