Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
FAL
2 - 1
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HOM
0 - 1
STM
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HOM
2 - 3
ICT
61%
22%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GLA
2 - 1
HOM
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 1
FAL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
ICT
3 - 1
KIL
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
KIL
2 - 1
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
STM
0 - 0
KIL
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
KIL
3 - 3
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |