Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HIB
2 - 2
HOM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
HOM
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 3
HOM
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ALL
0 - 4
HOM
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MHE
5 - 0
KIL
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
KIL
1 - 1
ICT
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
KIL
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |