Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 1
GLA
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FAL
4 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2003 |
HOM
4 - 4
HIB
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 4
KIL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 0
MHE
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 1
MHE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
KIL
0 - 1
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |