Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
HOM
7 - 1
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
KIL
0 - 1
HIB
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
KIL
2 - 1
ICT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
KIL
0 - 0
ABE
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
KIL
0 - 0
DUN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
ICT
1 - 1
KIL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |