Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 1
STJ
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
EAS
0 - 2
HOM
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CEL
4 - 0
HOM
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ABE
2 - 2
KIL
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
KIL
1 - 1
GLA
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
KIL
3 - 2
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 2
KAI
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 2
DUN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |