Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
STE
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
GLA
5 - 1
HOM
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
ABE
1 - 1
HOM
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1996 |
KIL
0 - 1
AYR
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
HIB
1 - 2
KIL
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
KIL
0 - 3
GLA
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |