Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
ABE
1 - 1
HOM
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
RAI
1 - 3
HOM
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
FAL
0 - 2
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 5
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
KIL
1 - 0
FAL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
HIB
1 - 1
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 0
RAI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |