Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
AIR
0 - 1
HOM
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
GLA
4 - 0
HOM
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AIR
1 - 2
HOM
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
HOM
1 - 2
STM
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
KIL
1 - 1
AIR
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
ABE
3 - 0
KIL
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
ABE
0 - 2
KIL
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
KIL
0 - 1
PAR
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |