Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
RAI
3 - 1
HOM
38%
22%
40%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 2
STM
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
HOM
1 - 0
RAI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
KIL
6 - 1
STM
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
KIL
3 - 2
CEL
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
RAI
1 - 7
KIL
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
STM
1 - 0
KIL
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |