Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
RAI
1 - 2
HOM
24%
20%
57%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
ALB
0 - 1
HOM
25%
22%
53%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
HOM
1 - 3
GLA
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
QOS
0 - 1
HOM
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
QUE
4 - 1
HOM
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
KIL
4 - 2
ALB
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
ABE
1 - 2
KIL
67%
17%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
KIL
2 - 2
HAM
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
KIL
4 - 2
RAI
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
QOS
2 - 0
KIL
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |