Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
AIR
2 - 2
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
HOM
3 - 2
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
TLA
2 - 2
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
GRE
2 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
HOM
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1925 |
HAM
2 - 1
KIL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
KIL
1 - 0
FAL
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
KIL
3 - 1
GRE
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
PAR
2 - 1
KIL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
AIR
4 - 2
KIL
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |