Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
TLA
2 - 0
HOM
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
4 - 0
AIR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
QUE
1 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 1
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 1
KIL
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
KIL
2 - 2
RAI
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
GRE
5 - 1
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
KIL
2 - 0
QUE
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
AIR
2 - 0
KIL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |