Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1917 |
CLY
3 - 0
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 2
FAL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1917 |
HAM
3 - 0
HOM
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1917 |
CLY
3 - 1
HOM
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1917 |
KIL
2 - 3
HAM
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1917 |
AYR
0 - 3
KIL
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1917 |
KIL
4 - 0
MHE
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1917 |
AIR
0 - 1
KIL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1917 |
KIL
0 - 0
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |