Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1911 |
HOM
3 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
HOM
1 - 0
MHE
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
HOM
0 - 1
TLA
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
KIL
2 - 3
GRE
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
TLA
0 - 2
KIL
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1911 |
KIL
3 - 1
HIB
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
AIR
3 - 1
KIL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
KIL
2 - 2
STM
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |