Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
GRE
0 - 0
HOM
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
PGA
0 - 0
HOM
19%
22%
60%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1907 |
HOM
0 - 1
AIR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
HIB
0 - 0
HOM
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
KIL
1 - 3
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
KIL
3 - 1
QUE
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
CLY
2 - 0
KIL
83%
10%
7%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
ABE
3 - 0
KIL
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1907 |
KIL
3 - 3
TLA
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |