Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1900 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1900 |
CEL
1 - 3
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1900 |
KIL
1 - 3
HOM
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1900 |
HOM
0 - 0
TLA
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1900 |
HOM
1 - 2
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1900 |
KIL
1 - 2
GLA
24%
22%
55%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1900 |
HIB
2 - 2
KIL
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1900 |
KIL
1 - 3
HOM
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1900 |
KIL
2 - 1
CEL
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1900 |
CEL
1 - 0
KIL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |