Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
3 - 0
STM
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
STB
2 - 4
HOM
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
GLA
4 - 3
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1899 |
PAR
0 - 1
HOM
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
KIL
2 - 1
STB
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
KIL
2 - 4
GLA
23%
21%
56%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
HIB
3 - 1
KIL
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1899 |
KIL
2 - 2
CEL
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1899 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |