Heart of Midlothian vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
HOM
2 - 0
KIL
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
STI
2 - 1
GRE
18%
22%
61%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
RAI
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 2
GRE
11%
19%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRE
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
6 - 0
STI
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |