Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Heart of Midlothian vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
HOM
6 - 1
AIR
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
GRE
0 - 3
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1962 |
HIB
0 - 4
HOM
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
GRE
0 - 3
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
GRE
2 - 0
STI
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
GRE
5 - 2
ALL
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
ARB
3 - 3
GRE
63%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
STI
1 - 4
GRE
70%
16%
13%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |