Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
HOM
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 4
HOM
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 1
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 2
HOM
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
CWB
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
FAL
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 2
FAL
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |