Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 0
HOM
28%
29%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HOM
3 - 2
ICT
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 2
HOM
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
ABE
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 0
FAL
67%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 1
FAL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 1
FAL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
FAL
4 - 2
QOS
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |