Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 2
HIB
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUN
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 5
FAL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
FAL
3 - 1
ICT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STM
1 - 0
FAL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
FAL
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |