Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 4
HOM
26%
27%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
ZEL
0 - 0
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 2
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 1
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FAL
3 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
STM
0 - 0
FAL
26%
25%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 3
STJ
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
ARB
3 - 4
FAL
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |