Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-5
Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
LOK
2 - 0
HOM
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
HOM
0 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ABE
2 - 2
HOM
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
3 - 2
HOM
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
HAM
1 - 2
FAL
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
EAS
1 - 5
FAL
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
FAL
5 - 1
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
FAL
1 - 2
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
STR
5 - 0
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |