Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
1 - 2
STJ
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
FAL
6 - 1
ALB
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1974 |
ALB
1 - 2
FAL
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
CWB
1 - 3
FAL
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
FAL
3 - 0
ALL
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
FAL
1 - 0
EAS
63%
19%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |