Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
ARB
3 - 0
HOM
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1973 |
MHE
2 - 2
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
HOM
0 - 2
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
ABE
3 - 1
HOM
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
HOM
1 - 1
EAS
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
DUN
1 - 0
FAL
72%
16%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
FAL
0 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
FAL
0 - 0
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1973 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
EAS
1 - 2
FAL
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |