Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
PAR
0 - 1
HOM
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
HOM
6 - 2
CLY
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
GLA
1 - 0
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
TLA
3 - 0
HOM
54%
20%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
STM
3 - 3
HOM
44%
22%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
FAL
1 - 0
ABE
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
TLA
0 - 2
FAL
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
QOS
2 - 2
FAL
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
FAL
7 - 4
CLY
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |