Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
HIB
2 - 2
HOM
23%
21%
56%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
TLA
3 - 0
HOM
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
HOM
4 - 1
ARB
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
HOM
2 - 1
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1938 |
KIL
2 - 2
FAL
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
FAL
6 - 1
GRE
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
FAL
2 - 0
QUE
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
AYR
2 - 3
FAL
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
FAL
3 - 1
TLA
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |