Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
DUN
2 - 7
HOM
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1928 |
HOM
4 - 2
QUE
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
CLY
2 - 2
HOM
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1928 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
HOM
2 - 2
HIB
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
FAL
2 - 1
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1928 |
STM
3 - 2
FAL
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
FAL
1 - 3
CEL
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1928 |
FAL
2 - 1
MHE
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
AIR
0 - 1
FAL
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |