Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
STJ
4 - 3
HOM
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
HOM
3 - 1
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
HOM
1 - 1
KIL
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
HAM
1 - 2
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
TLA
4 - 0
FAL
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
FAL
1 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
AYR
0 - 0
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
CEL
6 - 1
FAL
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |