Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
PAR
1 - 1
HOM
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1921 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
HOM
0 - 1
CLY
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
HOM
0 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
HIB
1 - 1
FAL
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
FAL
0 - 1
ALB
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1921 |
ABE
1 - 1
FAL
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1921 |
FAL
2 - 0
AIR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |