Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
HIB
3 - 0
HOM
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
HOM
6 - 2
DUM
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
TLA
3 - 0
HOM
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
MHE
2 - 2
HOM
66%
18%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
FAL
2 - 2
RAI
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
KIL
2 - 0
FAL
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 3
TLA
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
GLA
2 - 0
FAL
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 3
CEL
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |