Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ALB
6 - 2
HOM
21%
21%
58%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
CLY
0 - 1
HOM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
HOM
0 - 3
CLY
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 2
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
FAL
2 - 2
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
CLY
3 - 1
FAL
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |