Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1916 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1916 |
AYR
2 - 0
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
HOM
2 - 1
TLA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
AIR
3 - 2
HOM
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
HOM
1 - 3
GLA
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1916 |
FAL
0 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
HAM
1 - 1
FAL
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
FAL
1 - 1
TLA
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
RAI
0 - 6
FAL
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1916 |
FAL
2 - 0
KIL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |